Intelligence›Global Indicators›FAO Cereals Price Index

OFFICIAL FAO INDICATOR

FEED · MONTHLY

FAO Cereals Price Index

index (2014-2016=100) · Base: 2014-2016 = 100 · Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations ↗

ANIMSTOK MARKET SUMMARY

Rule-based analysis · Based on 441 published observations

Medium Confidence

The FAO Cereals Price Index rose sharply in September 2026, rising 5.6% month-on-month. The index is significantly above last year's level, having risen 17.2% over the past year. At 122.8, it stands 23% above its 2014–2016 base period.

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (official)·Latest: September 2026·Calculation: deterministic rule-based prose, not AI-generated

CURRENT VALUE

122.8

index (2014-2016=100) · September 2026

MONTH-ON-MONTH

+5.6%

vs previous month

YEAR-ON-YEAR

+17.2%

vs same month last year

HISTORICAL CHART

441 observations · Jan 1990 – Sep 2026

Dashed line = 2014–2016 base period (100). Data source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (official).

OBSERVED MARKET PATTERN

Statistical patterns from published observations only — no event or trade evidence

Tracking 22.8% above the 2014–2016 base period of 100
12-month direction: upward trend (+17.2% year-on-year)
3-month momentum: strengthening (index higher than 3 months ago)
Price volatility: moderate (12-month coefficient of variation: 4.5%)
Sustained upward run: 7 consecutive months of monthly gains (within the last 12 months)

WHY THIS MATTERS

Poultry & Swine Producers

Feed grain costs are the largest operating variable in protein production — cereal price movement directly affects farm-gate margin.

Feed Manufacturers

Ration formulation costs are directly exposed to corn, soy, and wheat price movement captured by this index.

Exporters

India's wheat and rice export competitiveness is benchmarked against global cereal price levels in this index.

Government Procurement

FCI procurement and MSP pricing decisions reference international parity, which this index represents.

POTENTIALLY RELEVANT COMPANIES

Companies in AnimStok's intelligence coverage in the Feed sector. Exposure is not confirmed — conduct your own due diligence.

🇺🇸

Archer-Daniels-Midland

CP Foods (Charoen Pokphand)

This list is derived from AnimStok's intelligence coverage and does not imply that these companies are directly affected by this indicator. No investment or commercial advice is implied.

WHAT TO WATCH

Monitoring variables — not procurement recommendations

1USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) — released first Friday of each month

2India grain procurement and MSP policy announcements — affects domestic price floor and export quotas

3Baltic Dry Index — global freight rates embedded in grain import cost-in-country pricing

4Drought risk assessment for Ukraine, US Corn Belt, and India Deccan plateau producing regions

5China import intentions for corn, wheat, and barley — China is the largest swing buyer in global grain markets

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Market Events

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Company Intelligence

12 companies

Revenue, capacity, and segment data for global meat, poultry, dairy, and seafood producers

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Intelligence Sources

All 44 global sources tracked by AnimStok — FAO, USDA, AHDB, MLA, GDT, and more

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EVIDENCE & METHODOLOGY

PublisherFood and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

FrequencyMonthly (released ~6th of each month)

Base period2014-2016 = 100

Observations441 published observations · Jan 1990 – Sep 2026

Summary methodDeterministic rule-based prose computed from real observations — no language model involved

Confidence logicFreshness (days since latest) + historical depth + corroborating datasets (0 linked) + FAO source quality

Official sourcehttps://www.fao.org ↗

MethodologyFAO methodology notes ↗

ATTRIBUTION

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. 2026. FAO Cereals Price Index. Accessed October 28, 2026. https://www.fao.org. Licence: https://www.fao.org/contact-us/terms/en/. AnimStok does not claim Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations endorsement. The AnimStok Market Summary is rule-based analysis, not Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations content.